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In this article the minimum expected value of a Topps Chrome MetaZoo 2022 Hobby Box from the Topps Chrome MetaZoo 2022 set will be calculated. Scroll to the bottom to quickly check whether this set is worth opening. You can also find all pull rates, pack odds and card values in this article.
Prices in this article are accurate as of July 5, 2023. Click here to view the current box prices on eBay!
Product information:
- Set release date: April 19, 2023
- Current box price: $80
- Number of packs: 20
- Cards per pack: 4
- Boxes per case: 8
Base Set
The Base Set subset consists of 150 cards.
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| Rarity | Card Value | Odds per pack | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | $0.20 | 2.67 cards | $10.68 |
| Refractor | $0.67 | 1 card | $13.33 |
| Green /99 | $10.00 | 1:93 | $2.15 |
| Gold /50 | $20.00 | 1:184 | $2.17 |
| Orange /25 | $40.00 | 1:148 | $5.41 |
| Black /5 | $150.00 | 1:1,832 | $1.64 |
| Superfractor 1/1 | $500.00 | 1:9,064 | $1.10 |
The expected value of all of the Base Set subset is $36.48.
Cryptid Camera/First Sighting
The Cryptid Camera/First Sighting subset consists of 23 cards.
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| Rarity | Card Value | Odds per pack | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | $1.00 | 1:20 | $1.00 |
| Green /99 | $15.00 | 1:604 | $0.50 |
| Gold /50 | $30.00 | 1:1,195 | $0.50 |
| Orange /25 | $60.00 | 1:963 | $1.25 |
| Black /5 | $150.00 | 1:12,051 | $0.25 |
| Superfractor 1/1 | $1,000.00 | 1:58,914 | $0.34 |
The expected value of all of the Cryptid Camera/First Sighting subset is $3.83.
Battle Cards
The Battle Cards subset consists of 6 cards.
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| Rarity | Card Value | Odds per pack | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | $0.83 | 1:10 | $1.67 |
| Green /99 | $15.00 | 1:2,316 | $0.13 |
| Gold /50 | $50.00 | 1:4,571 | $0.22 |
| Orange /25 | $100.00 | 1:3,657 | $0.55 |
| Black /5 | $250.00 | 1:44,185 | $0.11 |
| Superfractor 1/1 | $750.00 | 1:265,110 | $0.06 |
The expected value of all of the Battle Cards subset is $2.73.
Lore
The Lore subset consists of 10 cards.
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| Rarity | Card Value | Odds per pack | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | $0.50 | 1:7 | $1.43 |
| Green /99 | $15.00 | 1:1,389 | $0.22 |
| Gold /50 | $30.00 | 1:2,748 | $0.22 |
| Orange /25 | $50.00 | 1:2,210 | $0.45 |
| Black /5 | $250.00 | 1:27,907 | $0.18 |
| Superfractor 1/1 | $1,000.00 | 1:132,555 | $0.15 |
The expected value of all of the Lore subset is $2.65.
Creator Cards
The Creator Cards subset consists of 2 cards.
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| Rarity | Card Value | Odds per pack | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | $10.00 | 1:160 | $1.25 |
| Black /5 | $200.00 | 1:88,370 | $0.05 |
| Superfractor 1/1 | $1,000.00 | 1:530,220 | $0.04 |
The expected value of all of the Creator Cards subset is $1.33.
Is this set worth opening?
We know that a Topps Chrome MetaZoo 2022 Hobby Box costs $80. We’ll take a look at two different methods.
Please do keep in mind that all calculated values err on the side of caution, it is definitely possible to get better results if you pull high-end chase cards!
Selling everything
Selling everything will take a lot of time, but it is also a way of calculating the true value of a Topps Chrome MetaZoo 2022 Hobby Box, and if it is around break-even it could be a way to chase the high-end Superfractor and Autograph cards!
| Subset | Expected Value |
|---|---|
| Base Set | $36.48 |
| Cryptid Camera/First Sighting | $3.83 |
| Battle Cards | $2.73 |
| Lore | $2.65 |
| Creator Cards | $1.33 |
Summing the data above we can see that all contents of the box sell for $47.03, equaling 58.8% of the box price.
Only selling the easy to sell cards
Another way to approach the question of whether it is worth opening is by taking only the cards that are to sell. This may involve opening multiple boxes if you want to sell complete sets, so this is mostly interesting if you want to open cases. Still, it can be a nice way to easily recoup some money!
In the table below you can see the easy to sell cards.
| Rarity | Expected Value |
|---|---|
| Base Set – Base | $10.68 |
| Base Set – Refractor | $13.33 |
| Battle Cards – Base | $1.67 |
| Lore – Base | $1.43 |
This gives us a total of $27.11, or 33.9% of the box price.
Final words
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Also, please take a look at my other articles:
- Topps Chrome MetaZoo 2022 for other products.
- Topps MetaZoo for other sets.
- Set EV for other categories.
